Andrew Mount Horse Racing Tips - Wednesday September 29th | Sportslens.com

Andrew Mount Horse Racing Suggestions – Wednesday September twenty ninth | Sportslens.com

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One other horse racing betting ideas column penned by trade insider Andrew Mount accommodates eight bets for this Wednesday. After greater than 20 years within the enterprise, this broadcaster, journalist and tipster shares his programs with punters. Andrew is a daily contributor to the Racing Put up, Weekender and Racing & Soccer Outlook, and his ideas seem on GG.co.uk. He additionally seems on William Hill Radio and Racing Put up TV as a pundit. Andrew appears for distinctive statistical angles to his betting and this creates useful programs!

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Andrew has loads of fancies from up and down the UK right now. Learn all about his picks from Bangor, Catterick, Kempton and Nottingham beneath:

Nottingham

1.00 – GABRIELLA’S SPIRIT (system – jockey Jason Hart on sprinters)

Jason Hart has a popularity for being good on sprinters and his precise/anticipated rating in races over 5f-6f up to now 5 seasons is a wholesome 1.19 (he’s ridden 178 winners, whereas the market says it ought to have been nearer to 149). We’d have misplaced cash by backing them blind however, by concentrating on the higher races (Class 4 or above), we’d have turned a revenue of £83.01 to a £1 stage stake at SP in the identical interval.

GABRIELLA’S SPIRIT trailed dwelling final of eight on her debut at Catterick again in Might, however was rested for 4 months afterwards and returned to complete a stable 50-1 third at Haydock. That kind was boosted when the runner-up went one higher in Listed firm at Ayr, so she will be able to get off the mark right here.

Again Gabriella’s Spirit at SBK

1.30 – PADDY’S FANCY (programs – New Bay second-time out 2yos & New Bay 2yos on turf over 7f+)

PADDY’S FANCY was final of eight at Newcastle on her current debut, however the change to turf will swimsuit and she or he might take an enormous step ahead with that outing behind her. Backing juvenile progeny of New Bay on their second profession begin would have discovered 16 winners from 86 runners (18.6% strike-rate) for a revenue of £18.88 to a £1 stage stake.

Siding with all New Bay two-year-olds over 7f+ on turf, no matter what number of runs they’d had, produced 21 winners from 78 bets (27%) for a revenue of £51.45. The Racing Put up tissue value has her at 66-1 and, along with her small secure in good kind, she might make a mockery of these odds.

Guess on Paddy’s Fancy at SBK

Bangor

1.40 – ROBIN DES THEATRE (system – Michael Scudamore handicap chase debutants)

Michael Scudamore-trained runners have an excellent document when making their handicap chase debuts, with 11 of the 59 qualifiers successful for a revenue of £28.75 to the same old £1 stake. Those that had been switching from hurdles, as ROBIN DES THEATRE does right here, have a ten from 44 document for a revenue of £37.75.

Again Robin Des Theatre at SBK

3.10 – ZAFAR (system – Donald McCain handicap hurdles at Bangor)

My go-to Bangor system is to facet with something Donald McCain saddles in handicap hurdles. Because the begin of 2011, this angle has thrown up 46 winners from 232 bets (19.8% strike-rate) for a revenue of £88.33 to a £1 stage stake at SP.

In the identical interval, had we solely backed these with the good thing about a current outing (inside the previous 28 days) we’d have discovered 33 winners from 106 bets (31.1%) for an enormous revenue of £121.57 (virtually 115% on turnover). ZAFAR has two wins and an in depth second to his identify from three runs for McCain and holds stable claims once more.

Guess on Zafar at SBK

Catterick

3.20 – LOBO DEL MAR (system – Fountain Of Youth progeny switching from AW to turf)

Fountain of Youth offspring do significantly better on turf than on the All-Climate, so merely backing them after they change again to grass is a worthwhile angle. LOBO DEL MAR is clearly no star, however he was solely crushed by 1 1/2 lengths when fifth at Wolverhampton final time and will sneak into the body at an enormous value.

Again Lobo Del Mar at SBK

3.50 – RAIN CAP (system – Fountain Of Youth turf runners, current outing)

RAIN CAP additionally represents Fountain Of Youth and, though not switching from the All-Climate like Lobo Del Mar, he qualifies on the current run angle. Backing all progeny of this sire on turf after a current outing (inside 28 days) would have returned an enormous revenue of £282.13 to a £1 stage stake at SP. Rain Cap was an 18-1 winner on this method in August, so can justify each-way assist regardless of this journey being on the sharp facet for him.

Guess on Rain Cap at SBK

Kempton

5.30 – HEERATTHETRACK (system – dam Jessica Ennis with AW runners)

The overwhelming majority of my breeding programs concern the sire, not the dam however Jessica Ennis is among the exceptions. She’s foaled an enormous variety of helpful All-Climate performers. Had we backed all of them, then we’d have gained 15 of our 57 bets (26.3%) and made a revenue of £49.95 to a £1 stake.

HEERATTHETRACK has caught the attention in his two runs up to now, ending fourth at 200-1 in a 7f Wolverhampton maiden earlier than his 28-1 third of 14 over 7f right here at Kempton. The step as much as 1m will swimsuit and, whereas it’s seemingly that we gained’t see the most effective of him till handicapping, he’s nonetheless value an each-way curiosity.

Guess on Heeratthetrack at SBK

6.00 – TIGER CRUSADE (system – sire Siyouni on Polytrack, 4yo+)

Progeny of Siyouni have a robust document on Polytrack and so they additionally enhance with age. Had we backed these aged 4 or older on the All-Climate at Chelmsford, Dundalk, Kempton or Lingfield – the 4 venues in Britain and Eire with that floor – we’d have gained 23 of our 113 bets (20.4% strike-rate) and made a revenue of £58.95 to a £1 stage stake at SP. TIGER CRUSADE, effectively drawn in stall 3, has Polytrack kind figures of 4312 (1-4) and needs to be thereabouts as soon as extra.

Again Tiger Campaign at SBK

 

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